Fundamental Analysis for AUD/JPY for September 27, 2018
AUD/JPY is currently quite indecisive and volatile after being rejected off the 82.00 area with a daily close recently. AUD has been the dominant currency in the pair while JPY is struggling amid the mixed economic reports. Ahead of the macroeconomic reports from Japan this week, certain gain on the bearish side was observed recently.
This week AUD did not present any impactful economic reports or events to fuel its gains. Tomorrow Australia’s Private Sector Credit report is going to be published which is expected to be unchanged at 0.4%. Though certain volatility may be observed in the market as Japan is also going to publish certain economic reports on the same day, AUD may struggle a bit if the actual outcome does not meet expectations.
On the other hand, JPY having impactful economic reports to be published tomorrow, certain gains on the JPY side was observed today which is currently fading itself in the process. Tomorrow Tokyo Core CPI report is going to be published which is expected to be unchanged at 0.9%, Unemployment Rate is expected to be unchanged at 2.5%, Prelim Industrial Production is expected to increase to 1.5% from the previous value of -0.2%, and Retail Sales is also expected to increase to 2.2% from the previous value of 1.5%. Moreover, BOJ Summary of Opinions is also going to be held tomorrow which is expected to be neutral with the impact in the current market situation.
Meanwhile, both currencies in the pair are still indecisive ahead of the upcoming economic reports. JPY having series of economic reports may lead the process if the expectations are met or else AUD may continue pushing higher in the coming days which might lead to further definite bullish momentum in the pair.
Now let us look at the technical view. The price has pushed lower today after the strong bullish rejection daily candle formed yesterday. The price is currently residing above the dynamic level of 20 EMA which does indicate the bullish bias is still on and the price has greater probability to push higher above 82.00 area in the process but if the price fails to break above 82.00 area and pushes lower impulsively there are certain chances of certain short-term bearish pressure as well. As the price remains above 80.50 area with a daily close, the bullish bias is expected to continue.
RESISTANCE: 82.00, 84.00